The Black–Scholes Equation
The fair price of a stock option spreads out like heat, only backward in time: you know exactly what it's worth at expiry, and uncertainty about the stock smooths that payoff as you go back toward today. A change of variables turns the equation into the ordinary heat equation, and that's how Black and Scholes found their pricing formula.
What the symbols mean
- Option value
A function of the stock price S and time t.
- Volatility
How much the stock price fluctuates; plays the role of diffusivity.
- Risk-free interest rate
The return on a riskless investment.
What the symbols mean
- Strike price
The price at which the option lets you buy.
- Normal CDF
The standard normal cumulative distribution function.
- Time to expiry
How long until the option can be exercised.
Explanation
A stock option is simply a contract that gives you the right, but not the duty, to buy (a "call") or sell (a "put") a stock later at a price fixed today, the strike. The equation is named after Fischer Black and Myron Scholes, who published it in 1973, and a "European" option has nothing to do with Europe: it just means you can only use it on the expiry date. It's good for answering the question every trader has: what's a fair price for that right today? The equation looks like a monster, but it's four simple terms: (how the option's value changes as time passes), (the spreading caused by the stock jiggling randomly, playing the role of heat diffusion), (the stock drifting upward with interest) and (money later being worth less than money now). Put together, they say the option's value has to balance out with what a safe bank account would earn. It's finance dressed up as the heat equation; bear with it.
The idea. Here's the clever part. Combine the option with just the right amount of stock ( shares) and the random part of the price cancels: when the stock jumps, the option and the shares move in opposite directions by the same amount. A portfolio with no risk can't earn more than the risk-free rate , or everyone would borrow to buy it. Writing that out with Itô's formula gives the PDE.
A final-value problem. At expiry the call is worth its payoff, , and there's no uncertainty about that. So instead of starting from an initial condition, we solve backward from , which is why the time derivative has the "wrong" sign compared with the heat equation. Going back in time, the sharp corner of the payoff gets smoothed out, just as heat smooths a sharp initial temperature going forward.
Reduction to heat. With , and an exponential factor that removes the drift and decay terms, the equation becomes . The log makes sense because stock moves are about percentages, not dollars. Then it's the infinite rod again: convolving the payoff with the heat kernel gives the formula above. The normal CDF shows up because the heat kernel is a normal distribution.
The Greeks. Delta is how much the option's price moves per dollar of stock; it's also the hedge ratio, the number of shares from the paragraph on the idea.
A common mistake. It's tempting to think the option's price must depend on how fast you expect the stock to grow, since a stock that's heading up should make a call worth more. It doesn't. The expected growth rate never appears in the equation, only and . The hedging argument removes it: once the risk is cancelled, the portfolio has to grow at , whatever you believe about the stock.
The model assumes constant volatility and frictionless trading; real markets violate both, which is why traders quote "implied volatility."
See it
Worked examples
Price a call with , , , one year to expiry.
- 1
Since , , and , so and .
Practice
Type your answer and check it. Solve them all to complete the lesson.
A call with strike 100 expires with the stock at 120. What is it worth?
For , , , , find .
Find the call price for the same inputs.
Find the option's delta, .
Which change of variables turns Black–Scholes into the heat equation?
A put option gives the right to sell a stock at the strike price, 50. It expires with the stock at 42. What is it worth at expiry?
For the example inputs (, , , one year), . Find , the risk-neutral probability that the call ends in the money.
The hardest one here. Get it, and you've got this lesson.
Put–call parity says . Using the example's call price (with , , one year), find the price of the matching put.
Where it's used
Options exchanges, banks and trading desks price and hedge trillions of dollars of contracts with Black–Scholes and its descendants; the 1997 Nobel Prize in economics recognized the work.